The NDA appears set for a decisive win in the 2025 Bihar assembly elections, as early trends show strong leads – while Osama Shahab, son of Mohammad Shahabuddin, leads in Raghunathpur.
Latest Update
- The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is heading toward a major victory in the Bihar assembly elections, with early trends showing the alliance ahead in roughly 190 of the 243 seats.
- Reports indicate the NDA has already crossed the majority mark of 122 seats, with some leads showing around 160 seats.
- In the constituency of Raghunathpur (Siwan district), Osama Shahab – son of the late strongman Mohammad Shahabuddin – is currently leading by about 3,478 votes.
- The counting began on 14 November 2025, following polling held in two phases on 6 and 11 November.
- The lead gains for the NDA are particularly notable in both rural constituencies and seats with significant minority-voter bases.
What This Means
- If the NDA converts its current leads into wins, this will be one of its strongest mandates in Bihar, strengthening its position in the state and nationally.
- The resurgence of Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)) within the alliance appears central to the result, as early trends show the JD(U) outperforming expectations.
- For the opposition Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)-led Mahagathbandhan, the loss of strongholds and inability to match previous performance signals trouble ahead.
- In Raghunathpur, the lead of Osama Shahab shows the continued political influence of the Shahabuddin family, but also underscores shifting dynamics in local politics.
Key Figures & Constituencies to Watch
- Majority mark: 122 seats out of 243 total in the Bihar assembly.
- NDA leading in ~180-190 seats as of midday 14 Nov.
- Osama Shahab leading in Raghunathpur against his rivals.
- Other high-profile contests:
- Seat where Tejashwi Yadav (RJD leader) was battling.
- Constituencies with strong minority populations where the NDA has gained traction.
What to Expect Next
- Final counting and verification over the next hours will firm up which seats the NDA will convert into wins, and whether its lead holds.
- The opposition will likely analyse the causes of the setback: coalition alignment, candidate selection, regional issues, and campaign effectiveness.
- With the NDA likely commanding a strong majority, the state government formation under Nitish Kumar appears imminent.
- Local and national implications: A decisive win could boost the NDA’s influence ahead of future national elections, and shift political dynamics in adjacent states as signalled by leaders.
